📰 FED EXPECTED TO BE EVEN MORE HAWKISH THAN OFFICIALS INDICATE Fed officials have projected inflation not reaching the central bank’s 2% target before 2027 and they expect interest rates to be cut only twice next year. However, a potential resurgence of inflation could not only limit the Fed’s ability to continue the rate-cutting cycle, but even drive it to raise rates, ITR Economics’ Lauren Saidel-Baker writes. CME data show markets are mostly pricing a Fed hold until May, with the possibility of only one cut in 2025.

FED EXPECTED TO BE EVEN MORE HAWKISH THAN OFFICIALS INDICATE

Fed officials have projected inflation not reaching the central bank’s 2% target before 2027 and they expect interest rates to be cut only twice next year. However, a potential resurgence of inflation could not only limit the Fed’s ability to continue the rate-cutting cycle, but even drive it to raise rates, ITR Economics’ Lauren Saidel-Baker writes. CME data show markets are mostly pricing a Fed hold until May, with the possibility of only one cut in 2025.