WHAT ARE THE ODDS OF A U.S. RECESSION IN 2025? Kalshi: 40% Larry Summers: 50% J.P. Morgan: 40% CNBC Fed Survey: 36% Moody’s Analytics: 35% Pimco: 35% Goldman Sachs: 20% The U.S. economy faces uncertainty in 2025, with recession odds rising. Experts estimate a ~40% chance, driven by Trump’s tariffs, declining consumer confidence, and GDP forecasts WHAT TO WATCH: April 2 tariff deadline, upcoming jobs reports, and consumer spending trends. The economy’s fate hinges on policy decisions in the coming months https://t.co/EBauYcoTZq