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2025
March
13
📰 LUTNICK: EU RESPONSE TO US WAS DISRESPECTFUL
News
📰 LUTNICK: EU RESPONSE TO US WAS DISRESPECTFUL
March 13, 2025
Frank
LUTNICK: EU RESPONSE TO US WAS DISRESPECTFUL
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📰 OIL PRICES WOULD NEED TO FALL TO $53/BARREL FOR US CPI TO HIT FED’S 2% TARGET:CITI 🔸 Citi: Brent crude could drop to $60 by 2H25 (-20% from $75), potentially lowering U.S. CPI by 0.3pp short-term. 🔸 Impact: A 33% oil price drop could cut CPI by 0.5pp; a 50% drop ($35/bbl) could reduce CPI by 0.8%. 🔸 Fed Target: Oil at $53/bbl (~$2.60/gal gas) needed for 2% inflation. 🔸 Risks: Tariffs on China (+0.2pp CPI), reciprocal tariffs (+0.3pp), and U.S. trade policies could offset deflationary effects.
📰 US JOBLESS CLAIMS -2K TO 220K IN MAR-8 WK; SURVEY 225K US MAR-1 WEEK CONTINUING CLAIMS -27K TO 1,870,000 US MAR-1 WEEK JOBLESS CLAIMS REVISED TO 222K
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